Keeping public debt at sustainable levels — and debt-service costs within the bounds of government revenue — allows African countries to preserve resources for infrastructure, health, education, and social protection. The cases of Senegal and Zimbabwe illustrate how debt difficulties can constrain access to financing and narrow fiscal choices.

In Senegal, authorities reached a technical agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on 1 September for a 36-month programme worth approximately US$2.2 billion under the Extended Credit Facility.

The agreement includes measures to restore macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability, strengthen public revenue, improve expenditure management, and protect social programmes. Its approval was made conditional on a decision by IMF management and the Executive Board, on corrective measures related to the misreporting of financial data, and on financing assurances from the country's development partners.

Senegalese authorities also announced their intention to renegotiate the country's debt. The objective is to align financial obligations with the state's repayment capacity and reduce vulnerabilities in the public accounts.

Zimbabwe faces difficulties linked to external debt and arrears owed to creditors. To support economic stabilisation and re-engagement with the international community, the country is implementing a ten-month programme monitored by IMF staff.

This instrument does not involve the provision of financing. It is designed to demonstrate the authorities' capacity to implement economic reforms and improve public financial management, thereby creating conditions for progress on arrears clearance and debt resolution.

On 7 October, the IMF announced the completion of the second review of the programme. While acknowledging progress, it stressed the need to develop a credible and fully financed strategy to resolve outstanding arrears and deepen dialogue with creditors. It also noted that the execution of social and priority spending had fallen below the minimum floor established under the programme.

The impact of indebtedness on public finances depends both on the amount owed and on the terms under which it was contracted. High interest rates, short maturities, and concentrated repayment schedules can increase pressure on the budget. When loans are denominated in foreign currency, depreciation of the domestic currency can further inflate the cost of repayment.

It is therefore important to distinguish between the stock of debt and debt service — that is, the principal and interest payments falling due within a given period. When these obligations absorb a large share of government revenue, administrations have less fiscal space to respond to crises or finance investment.

Having limited exposure to IMF loans is also insufficient on its own as a demonstration of financial soundness. Any assessment must consider the totality of a government's obligations, including domestic debt, commitments to other external creditors, and sovereign guarantees.

External financing can support development when it is offered on appropriate terms and deployed in projects with clear economic and social returns. Sustainability requires, however, that the state be able to meet its commitments without compromising essential services or becoming dependent on successive refinancing operations.

Source: Diário Económico
Original article: https://www.diarioeconomico.co.mz/?p=556667